A filtering approach for estimating lake water quality from remote sensing data     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2007,9(1):50-64

In this paper we consider the estimation of lake water quality constituent distributions from hyperspectral remote sensing data. We present a computational approach that can be used to assimilate information from mathematical evolution models into data processing. The method is based on a reduced order iterated extended Kalman filter, and a convection–diffusion model is used to describe the movement of the water quality constituents. The performance of the technique is evaluated in a simulation study. The results show that the filter approach with an appropriate evolution model yields estimates that have better spatial and temporal resolutions than those obtained with conventional methods. Furthermore, the use of a feasible evolution model may make it possible to obtain information also on the concentrations in the lower parts of the lake.  相似文献   

潮汐和地震对全球气候变化的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杨冬红  杨学祥 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2007,1(4):5-12

2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸后,全球低温冻害和暴雪灾害频繁发生。"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"是一种合理的解释。根据"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"理论,2005年全球气温将因为印尼地震海啸和强潮汐南北震荡而降低。美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的科学家认为,一个较弱的厄尔尼诺现象和人类排放的温室气体将使2005年成为人类有记载以来最热的一年。事实上,2005年的温度低于1998年。现在,西方科学家也承认了2005—2007年自然气候的变化抵消了全球气候变暖效应这一客观事实。  相似文献   

支持向量机与卡尔曼滤波集合的西太平洋副热带高压数值预报误差修正   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘科峰　张韧徐海斌  闵锦忠朱伟军 《气象学报》2007,65(3):450-457

基于T106数值预报产品资料,提出了支持向量机和卡尔曼滤波相结合的方法来进行夏季西太平洋副热带高压数值预报的误差修正与预报优化。首先采用支持向量机方法建立了西太平洋副热带高压面积指数的误差修正模型。基于支持向量机预报优化模型尽管有比较好的拟合精度和预报效果,但与实际副热带高压指数尚有一定的差异。究其原因,除预报对象(副热带高压)本身比较复杂、模型优化因子不够充分以及数值预报误差自身的随机性以外,优化模型的输入、输出基本上是一个静态映射结构,因此前一时刻的预测误差难以得到有效的反馈、调整和修正。为考虑前一时刻预报误差的反馈信息,动态跟踪副高的变化趋势,随后引入卡尔曼滤波方法建立支持向量机-卡尔曼滤波模型,对支持向量机模型的输出结果作进一步的调整和优化。试验结果表明,该方法模型的预报优化效果优于T106数值预报产品以及单纯的神经网络修正模型和卡尔曼滤波修正模型的优化效果,能够较为客观、有效地修正西太平洋副热带高压指数的数值预报误差,改进和优化西太平洋副热带高压的数值预报效果。该方法为副热带高压等复杂天气系统和要素场预报提供了一种新的思路,表现出较好的应用前景。  相似文献   

印度洋海表温度主模态及其与亚洲夏季季风的关系   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

杨明珠  丁一汇  李维京  毛恒青 《气象学报》2007,65(4):527-536

分析了印度洋SST主模态的时空特征,并探讨其对亚洲夏季季风的影响,结果表明:印度洋SST主模态的主要特征为整个海盆一致的增温趋势,主要具有准3 a和准11 a周期,在1976/1977年和1997/1998年分别具有两次年代际显著增温。印度洋SST主模态与中国雨区夏季降水有很好的关系,其增温趋势与华北、东北南部、华南东部和西南西部降水减少,长江中下游地区、东北北部和西北地区降水增多具有很好的关系,并与长江中下游梅雨雨量具有较好的正相关关系;其变化趋势对亚洲夏季季风系统具有显著影响,在高空,使南亚高压、高原南侧的高空东风以及从南海、东南亚至西南印度洋的高空越赤道气流减弱,但增强10°—20°N、40°—110°E的北风;在中层,使西北太平洋副热带高压强度偏强,面积偏大;在低层,增强索马里越赤道气流,但却削弱印度夏季季风低层环流,并且在加强东亚地区的低层南风在中国长江中下游地区及其以南地区的同时减弱华北地区的低层西南风;地面,使亚洲大陆的气压升高;与对流层整层垂直积分水汽输送通量的相关分布与低层环流的相似。因此,印度洋SST主模态的上升趋势是亚洲夏季季风趋于减弱和中国雨带南移的一个原因。  相似文献   

华南6月持续性致洪暴雨与孟加拉湾对流异常活跃的关系   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7  

许晓林  徐海明  司东 《南京气象学院学报》2007,30(4):463-471

利用NCEP/NCAR再分析逐日及逐月资料、NOAA卫星观测的向外长波辐射（Outgoing Long-wave Radiation,OLR）资料、我国160站月降水资料及华南45站逐日降水资料,分析了2005年6月华南持续性致洪暴雨的发生与孟加拉湾对流异常活跃及西太平洋副热带高压演变的关系,并对华南6月有无持续性大范围暴雨年进行合成分析,结果表明华南持续性大范围暴雨发生的年份,孟加拉湾对流相对活跃,西太平洋副高强度偏强、位置偏西;反之亦然。华南6月持续性大范围暴雨发生前,孟加拉湾对流经历了一次活跃过程,同时西太平洋副高也明显经历了一次增强西伸过程。孟加拉湾对流活跃可能通过东西向垂直环流诱使西太平洋副高增强西伸,从而对华南暴雨的形成产生影响。  相似文献   

Influence of leaf water potential on diurnal changes in CO₂ and water vapour fluxes   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Qiang Yu  Shouhua Xu  Jing Wang  Xuhui Lee 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2007,124(2):161-181

Mass and energy fluxes between the atmosphere and vegetation are driven by meteorological variables, and controlled by plant water status, which may change more markedly diurnally than soil water. We tested the hypothesis that integration of dynamic changes in leaf water potential may improve the simulation of CO₂ and water fluxes over a wheat canopy. Simulation of leaf water potential was integrated into a comprehensive model (the ChinaAgrosys) of heat, water and CO₂ fluxes and crop growth. Photosynthesis from individual leaves was integrated to the canopy by taking into consideration the attenuation of radiation when penetrating the canopy. Transpiration was calculated with the Shuttleworth-Wallace model in which canopy resistance was taken as a link between energy balance and physiological regulation. A revised version of the Ball-Woodrow-Berry stomatal model was applied to produce a new canopy resistance model, which was validated against measured CO₂ and water vapour fluxes over winter wheat fields in Yucheng (36°57′ N, 116°36′ E, 28 m above sea level) in the North China Plain during 1997, 2001 and 2004. Leaf water potential played an important role in causing stomatal conductance to fall at midday, which caused diurnal changes in photosynthesis and transpiration. Changes in soil water potential were less important. Inclusion of the dynamics of leaf water potential can improve the precision of the simulation of CO₂ and water vapour fluxes, especially in the afternoon under water stress conditions.  相似文献   

Negative water vapour skewness and dry tongues in the convective boundary layer: observations and large-eddy simulation budget analysis     

F. Couvreux  F. Guichard  V. Masson  J.-L. Redelsperger 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2007,123(2):269-294

This study focuses on the intrusion of dry air into the convective boundary layer (CBL) originating from the top of the CBL. Aircraft in-situ measurements from the IHOP_2002 field campaign indicate a prevalence of negative skewness of the water vapour distribution within the growing daytime CBL over land. This negative skewness is interpreted according to large-eddy simulations (LES) as the result of descending dry downdrafts originating from above the mixed layer. LES are used to determine the statistical properties of these intrusions: their size and thermodynamical characteristics. A conditional sampling analysis demonstrates their significance in the retrieval of moisture variances and fluxes. The rapid CBL growth explains why greater negative skewness is observed during the growing phase: the large amounts of dry air that are quickly incorporated into the CBL prevent a full homogenisation by turbulent mixing. The boundary-layer warming in this phase also plays a role in the acquisition of negative buoyancy for these dry tongues, and thus possibly explains their kinematics in the lower CBL. Budget analysis helps to identify the processes responsible for the negative skewness. This budget study underlines the main role of turbulent transport, which distributes the skewness produced at the top or the bottom of the CBL into the interior of the CBL. The dry tongues contribute significantly to this turbulent transport.  相似文献   

中国夏季降水对南印度洋偶极子的响应研究   总被引：11，自引：2，他引：11  

杨明珠  丁一汇 《大气科学》2007,31(4):685-694

分析了春季印度洋海表温度（SST）与中国160个站夏季降水的关系，得到:印度洋全海盆的增温趋势与我国夏季降水的气候线性变化趋势是十分一致的。另外，热带外南印度洋出现西南印度洋为正（负）、其东北部出现（负）正海温异常的分布模态时，定义为正（负）南印度洋偶极子PSIOD（NSIOD）事件。SIOD事件对中国夏季降水具有重要影响，PSIOD年，5月份中国江南和西南以及长江中下游的降水偏多；6～8月份华北、东北区域、长江中游以及华南地区降水增多，华南与华北之间的区域降水偏少，即主要为两条雨带的分布。NSIOD年，5月份中国大部降水偏少； 6～8月中国西南、江南地区以及黄淮地区降水偏多。不同时段SIOD所起的作用是不同的，5月，SIOD主要通过改变马斯克林局地环流的变化，影响印度洋低层越赤道的水汽通量输送；6～8月，通过改变海洋大陆下垫面SST热状态，改变其上空对流强度以及水汽输送方向，并间接影响西北太平洋副热带高压的强度和南北位置，进而对中国雨带的分布产生影响。  相似文献   

Occurrence and Resistance of Pathogenic Bacteria Along the Tietê River Downstream of São Paulo in Brazil     

Wolf-Rainer Abraham  Alexandre José Macedo  Luiz Humberto Gomes  Flavio C. A. Tavares 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2007,35(4):339-347

The load of pathogenic bacteria, their fate and their dangerousness in the Tietê River were assessed along 100 km starting from the city of São Paulo, Brazil. The data were compared with those from two German rivers. High loads of pathogens were found in the Tietê River near the city of São Paulo (Escherichia coli O157:H7, Shigella flexneri, and Shigella boydii), which were absent 30 km downstream of São Paulo. The antibiotic resistances observed in the Tietê river were rather low and decreased after the major input in São Paulo to significantly lower levels about 30 km downstream. While the Brazilian isolates were more susceptible for ampicillin than the German ones, the reverse was observed for gentamycin. For optimal control of infections in humans critical areas where these bacteria survived longer and their elimination mechanisms should be identified as well as the extent and the origin of antibiotic resistance should be determined.  相似文献   

亚澳季风各子系统气候学特征的异同研究 II. 夏季风水汽输送   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

陈际龙  黄荣辉 《大气科学》2007,31(5):766-778

利用1979~2002年的ERA-40和NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料以及CMAP降水资料探讨了亚澳季风各夏季风子系统(南亚夏季风、东亚夏季风、北澳夏季风)水汽输送的气候学特征及其与夏季降水的关系。分析表明:各夏季风子系统水汽输送通量主要取决于低层季风气流,南亚夏季风和北澳夏季风以纬向水汽输送为主,而东亚夏季风有很强的经向水汽输送。分析也证实,亚澳季风区的夏季风降水主;要源于水汽输送的辐合,而且ERA-40资料对夏季风水汽输送辐合的描述能力强于NCEP/NCAR资料。此外,受低层季风气流结构的影响,三夏季风子系统水汽输送辐合的动力机理存在明显差异,南亚夏季风和北澳夏季风的水汽输送辐合主要由低层西风气流的风场辐合所造成,而东亚夏季风的水汽输送辐合则由低层南风气流的风场辐合和季风湿平流共同作用造成。因此,东亚夏季风降水有别于南亚夏季风降水和北澳夏季风降水。  相似文献